Tennent's Irish Cup
Global 2-1
Dungannon Swifts vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
DUN
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 2
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 0
NEY
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
DUN
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
DON
0 - 1
GLE
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
DON
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
DON
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
DON
1 - 0
CLI
14%
19%
67%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |