Dungannon Swifts vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 2
LIS
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 4
BAL
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 1
CRU
19%
21%
61%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 5
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
4 - 0
DON
56%
22%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
LIS
3 - 0
DON
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DON
0 - 3
BAL
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DON
0 - 2
CLI
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
DON
3 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |