Dungannon Swifts vs Dollingstown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
DUN
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 2
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
DUN
3 - 0
DER
73%
17%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 2
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dollingstown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RIC
1 - 4
DOL
11%
16%
73%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SYL
1 - 3
DOL
59%
20%
20%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ABV
2 - 3
DOL
8%
14%
77%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
3 - 4
DOL
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DOL
3 - 0
POR
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |