Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
50.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
12º
10º
55
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 3
BAL
53%
21%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
DUN
69%
18%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
LAR
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIN
25%
22%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 4
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 2
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
CRU
47%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 2
LAR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 1
ARD
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |