Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
DUN
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
DUN
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
GLE
2 - 0
DUN
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
CLI
3 - 0
DUN
81%
14%
6%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
LIN
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
CRU
6 - 1
GLE
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
CRU
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
CRU
18%
22%
61%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |