Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 5
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
DON
3 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 0
DON
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
DUN
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
CRU
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
CRU
44%
23%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
LIS
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |