Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
64%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
12º
10º
41
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
LOU
27%
27%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 3
LIN
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
LAR
4 - 4
DUN
72%
19%
10%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
DUN
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
LAR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
COL
11%
21%
69%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
COL
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
BAL
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
COL
4 - 0
ARD
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | +1 |