Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 0
BAL
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 0
DUN
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 3
GLE
21%
25%
55%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
WAR
3 - 3
DUN
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
CLI
13%
20%
67%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CLI
0 - 1
CRU
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 1
CLI
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
CLI
4 - 3
BAN
70%
18%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CLI
4 - 0
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |