Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
12º
11º
37
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
DUN
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
GLE
17%
20%
64%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 1
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 2
CLI
10%
21%
69%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
4 - 0
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 1
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
BAL
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 1
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
68%
18%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |