Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
DUN
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 2
CLI
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LIN
4 - 0
DUN
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 5
BAL
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
BAL
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
GLE
2 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
COL
3 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
11%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GLE
6 - 0
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 3
WAR
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |