Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
DUN
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIS
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 0
DUN
83%
13%
5%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 1
BAL
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CRU
5 - 1
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
GLE
1 - 2
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
WAR
60%
20%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 0
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 3
LIS
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |