Dungannon Swifts vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
DUN
6 - 0
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 0
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
DUN
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLE
24%
23%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 1
DUN
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 1
BAL
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 0
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CRU
5 - 1
BAL
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 1
ARD
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 1
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |