Dungannon Swifts vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
DUN
70%
19%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
COL
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 3
GLE
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 1
DUN
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GLE
4 - 1
ARD
67%
19%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 3
LIN
16%
22%
61%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
GLE
5 - 0
ARD
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
ARD
2 - 0
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
WAK
0 - 5
ARD
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |