Dungannon Swifts vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 4
WAR
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 0
DUN
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 2
DUN
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
ARD
0 - 0
BAL
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 2
WAR
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
4 - 1
ARD
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 2
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 2
ARD
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |