Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 2-0
Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Zbrojovka Brno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
KIL
1 - 0
DUN
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
DUN
6 - 1
MHE
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1966 |
HOM
0 - 0
DUN
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1966 |
DUN
2 - 1
GRE
83%
11%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1965 |
GLA
2 - 3
DUN
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
ZBR
4 - 0
FIO
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
ZBR
68%
18%
13%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
LPL
1 - 0
ZBR
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1965 |
ZBR
2 - 0
LPL
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
ZBR
1 - 0
FTC
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |