Dunfermline Athletic FC vs FK Vardar analysis


72	ELO	66
23.7%	Tilt	0.8%
1901º	General ELO ranking	3540º
22º	Country ELO ranking	15º
ELO win probability

67.9%

Dunfermline Athletic FC

15.2%

Draw

16.9%

FK Vardar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

67.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
4.5%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.7%

15.2%

Draw

0-0

0.9%

1-1

4.5%

2-2

5.6%

3-3

3%

4-4

0.9%

5-5

0.2%

6-6

<0%

0

15.2%

16.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-8%

-5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches