Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Queen of the South analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
STJ
0 - 3
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
DUN
2 - 1
QOS
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
DUN
3 - 0
STI
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
DUN
4 - 0
QOS
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
QOS
2 - 0
PAR
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
QOS
1 - 2
FCN
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
DUN
2 - 1
QOS
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
QOS
0 - 0
AIR
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
BER
1 - 5
QOS
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |