Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 4-2
Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Örgryte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
16%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1964 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUN
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1964 |
DUN
3 - 0
MHE
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
KIL
1 - 0
DUN
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
DUN
7 - 2
CLY
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
GLA
2 - 2
DUN
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ORG
1 - 0
MFF
42%
23%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
ESK
1 - 4
ORG
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1964 |
ORG
1 - 5
GÖT
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
DJU
1 - 1
ORG
52%
22%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1964 |
ORG
5 - 3
HEL
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |