Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AIR
1 - 2
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 1
PAR
53%
23%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CWB
0 - 4
DUN
52%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
DUN
35%
24%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
KIL
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
BLA
57%
22%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
QUE
2 - 2
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
RAI
5 - 2
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MON
2 - 3
CLY
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
CWB
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |