Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
LIV
0 - 0
DUN
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 1
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 0
CWB
73%
17%
9%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 0
HIB
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
GLA
4 - 0
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
KIL
1 - 3
ABE
45%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 0
KIL
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 2
KIL
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
KIL
0 - 2
HOM
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |