Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1998 |
ABE
2 - 0
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
HIB
1 - 0
DUN
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
DUN
0 - 1
STJ
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1997 |
DUN
1 - 3
HOM
40%
26%
33%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
MHE
2 - 0
DUN
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
KIL
2 - 2
HOM
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
KIL
4 - 1
MHE
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1997 |
HIB
0 - 1
KIL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
KIL
1 - 0
ABE
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |