Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
AYR
3 - 0
DUN
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 4
GLA
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
DUN
3 - 1
MHE
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
STJ
0 - 1
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
DUN
3 - 1
MHE
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
HOM
1 - 3
ICT
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
LIV
2 - 0
HOM
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
HOM
3 - 1
ABE
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
HOM
2 - 1
ROS
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |