Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1998 |
STJ
1 - 1
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
DUN
1 - 2
ABE
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
CEL
5 - 0
DUN
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
DUN
1 - 1
MHE
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
GLA
1 - 1
DUN
78%
15%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1998 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
KIL
1 - 0
HOM
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
HOM
2 - 3
GLA
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
ABE
2 - 0
HOM
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1998 |
STJ
1 - 1
HOM
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |