Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
MHE
2 - 3
DUN
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
GLA
3 - 1
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
DUN
2 - 1
HIB
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
DUN
2 - 3
ABE
32%
25%
42%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 4
GLA
27%
25%
49%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
KIL
2 - 0
HOM
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 2
ABE
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
HOM
0 - 0
RAI
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
CEL
2 - 2
HOM
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |