Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
9º
6º
45
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
QUE
2 - 1
DUN
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
RAI
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
AYR
2 - 2
DUN
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 1
DUN
27%
27%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 0
ARB
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 3
GRE
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 0
AYR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |