Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
DUN
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 0
BRE
66%
19%
14%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 0
RAI
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
5 - 1
BLA
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 3
CWB
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 2
GLA
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CWB
2 - 2
FAL
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
FAL
20%
23%
58%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
THE
1 - 7
FAL
19%
23%
59%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
HAM
1 - 0
FAL
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |