Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 4
HIB
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
QOS
0 - 1
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
DUN
3 - 1
GRE
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 2
FAL
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
DUM
0 - 2
DUN
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
ELG
0 - 1
ROS
14%
19%
67%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ELG
0 - 0
CWB
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ARB
3 - 2
ELG
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ELG
2 - 2
STI
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CLY
3 - 2
ELG
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |