Dunfermline Athletic FC vs East Kilbride analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
EDI
1 - 0
DUN
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
6 - 0
ALB
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
STM
2 - 3
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 3
HIB
16%
22%
63%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ICT
1 - 0
DUN
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
East Kilbride
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
EDI
0 - 1
EAS
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
EAS
0 - 0
STM
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
EAS
0 - 1
ALB
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 0
STE
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
KHE
0 - 3
EAS
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |