Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 0
DUN
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 5
ICT
25%
23%
52%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CWB
0 - 3
DUN
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 0
ARB
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
CLY
0 - 1
DUN
21%
23%
57%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
DUM
3 - 3
PET
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
6 - 2
DUM
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 2
EAS
47%
24%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
DUM
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 2
MHE
18%
20%
63%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |