Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AIR
3 - 3
DUN
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 4
PAR
40%
26%
33%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 4
GRE
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 0
DUN
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 3
GRE
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
DUM
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DUM
2 - 2
CWB
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 2
FAL
36%
26%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RAI
3 - 2
DUM
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |