Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Brechin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CWB
0 - 1
DUN
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 2
DUN
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
ALB
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DUN
5 - 0
STE
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
DUN
6 - 1
STR
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 1
ALB
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 2
BRE
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 0
AYR
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
4 - 0
FOR
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PET
4 - 1
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |