Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 9-2
Dunfermline Athletic FC vs B 1903 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
STJ
1 - 5
DUN
35%
25%
41%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
DUN
4 - 3
PAR
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1965 |
ABE
2 - 2
DUN
40%
25%
36%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
DUN
2 - 4
DUN
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
FAL
0 - 3
DUN
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |