Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 4
DUN
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 3
FAL
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUN
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
HAM
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
AYR
3 - 0
RAI
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
AYR
0 - 0
GRE
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
AYR
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
AYR
5 - 2
FAL
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
AYR
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |