Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 0
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
FAL
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 0
DUN
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
COV
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 0
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 0
RAI
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
HAM
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
5 - 0
AIR
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 2
AYR
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
BUC
45%
22%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |