Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 1
DUN
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ALL
0 - 1
DUN
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 0
QOS
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 0
PAR
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
AYR
0 - 1
DUN
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
FAL
2 - 0
AYR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
ROS
3 - 2
AYR
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
AYR
0 - 1
DUN
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 0
AYR
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ALL
1 - 3
AYR
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |