Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
DUN
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
STR
5 - 1
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 1
BRE
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
DUN
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 2
STE
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
AYR
3 - 3
PET
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AYR
1 - 0
FOR
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PET
2 - 0
AYR
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
STI
1 - 4
AYR
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
AYR
0 - 2
DUN
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |