Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 1
AIR
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
DUN
46%
23%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 1
STR
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
FAL
2 - 1
DUN
62%
20%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
STE
4 - 5
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 2
BRE
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STE
1 - 1
AYR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 2
AIR
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
STR
1 - 1
AYR
49%
22%
29%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
AYR
1 - 2
FAL
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |