Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 3
DUN
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 1
STJ
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 2
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
RAI
2 - 2
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUN
26%
24%
49%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ARB
2 - 1
AYR
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALL
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARB
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUN
26%
24%
49%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ARB
0 - 0
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |