Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
CLY
0 - 1
DUN
21%
23%
57%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
ALL
1 - 1
DUN
17%
23%
61%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 0
PET
56%
22%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 0
DUN
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STR
4 - 1
DUN
27%
26%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 1
DUN
8%
15%
77%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
ARB
2 - 2
TUR
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 0
MHE
8%
15%
76%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ELG
4 - 1
ARB
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |