Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
AIR
0 - 1
DUN
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
DUN
4 - 1
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ICT
2 - 0
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
AYR
1 - 2
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ARB
2 - 2
EAS
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
DUM
0 - 2
ARB
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ARB
1 - 1
CWB
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
STI
2 - 2
ARB
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |