Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 3-3
Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1970 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1970 |
DUN
3 - 0
RAI
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1969 |
STJ
1 - 0
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1969 |
AYR
1 - 0
DUN
24%
28%
49%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1969 |
AND
1 - 0
DUN
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
STR
2 - 1
AND
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
AND
5 - 0
KSK
81%
12%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
AND
0 - 0
MOL
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1969 |
AND
1 - 0
DUN
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
AND
3 - 1
GEN
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |