Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
4º
1º
58
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
ALL
52%
23%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 0
DUN
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CIV
4 - 1
DUN
11%
19%
70%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
5 - 0
BUC
41%
23%
37%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
EAS
0 - 2
DUN
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
ALL
52%
23%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 2
ROS
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 4
ALL
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 1
EAS
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RAI
4 - 0
ALL
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |