Dunedin vs Universities AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+206%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
9º
7º
11
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHR
5 - 0
DUN
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 4
FER
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
DUN
56%
20%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 5
CAS
11%
13%
76%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
5 - 0
COA
37%
21%
42%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
NSF
6%
11%
84%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHR
4 - 3
UOC
88%
8%
4%
|
5 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 2
SUF
28%
21%
51%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
UOC
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
UOC
1 - 3
CHR
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | -1 |