Dunedin vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
46.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
9º
7º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
DUN
91%
6%
3%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
6 - 2
DUN
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
SUF
83%
11%
7%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COA
2 - 1
DUN
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
FCT
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 2
CHR
15%
16%
68%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
COA
1 - 0
NOM
52%
21%
28%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 1
FER
68%
17%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
3 - 2
CHR
12%
14%
74%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | +4 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 1
NOM
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |