Dunedin vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
46.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
9º
7º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
DUN
91%
6%
3%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
6 - 2
DUN
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
SUF
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COA
2 - 1
DUN
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
FCT
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 2
CHR
15%
16%
68%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
COA
1 - 0
NOM
52%
21%
28%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 1
FER
68%
17%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
3 - 2
CHR
12%
14%
74%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | +3 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 1
NOM
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |