Dunedin vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
38%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
5º
4º
22
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
SUF
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
WNK
1 - 0
DUN
36%
21%
43%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
DUN
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 2
GIA
68%
16%
16%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
DUN
92%
5%
2%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CAS
5 - 4
NSF
89%
7%
4%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NSF
0 - 1
CAS
10%
12%
77%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NSF
7 - 1
SUF
84%
10%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 9
NSF
8%
11%
81%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 6
NSF
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |