Dunedin vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
9º
7º
1
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 0
UOC
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHR
5 - 0
DUN
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 4
FER
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
DUN
56%
20%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 5
CAS
11%
13%
76%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 4
CHR
7%
11%
82%
|
6 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
FCT
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 5
NOM
9%
14%
77%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
12 - 0
FCT
93%
5%
2%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 9
NSF
7%
11%
82%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | -1 |