Dunedin vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
5º
4º
6
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 1
DUN
52%
20%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
FER
52%
21%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CHR
5 - 2
DUN
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 5
DUN
40%
21%
38%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
NOM
62%
18%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 4
COA
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
0 - 2
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 1
SUF
6%
12%
82%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
GIA
2 - 0
FCT
94%
5%
2%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 6
CAS
2%
6%
92%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | -1 |