Dunedin vs Christchurch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
73.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
9º
7º
41
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
DUN
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
NOM
32%
21%
47%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
DUN
91%
6%
3%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
6 - 2
DUN
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
SUF
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
CHR
8%
12%
81%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 3
FER
84%
10%
6%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 2
CHR
15%
16%
68%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 2
CHR
46%
22%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
3 - 2
CHR
12%
14%
74%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | -3 |