Düneberger SV vs FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
40%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+169%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
15º
18º
18º
32
11º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düneberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATB
5 - 1
DNB
57%
19%
25%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 2
SAS
9%
14%
78%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UTO
3 - 4
DNB
52%
19%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
8 - 1
DNB
64%
17%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 2
WAN
22%
19%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 4
SUD
17%
17%
66%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 3
ALT
15%
18%
68%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
4 - 2
WIL
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 3
HEB
24%
20%
57%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
VHG
4 - 0
WIL
73%
14%
13%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |