Düneberger SV vs TSV Buchholz 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
68.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
15º
18º
18º
46
5º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düneberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 1
DNB
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
RUG
1 - 0
DNB
58%
19%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DNB
2 - 5
SUD
16%
17%
68%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DNB
3 - 2
HEB
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
VHG
7 - 1
DNB
85%
9%
6%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Buchholz 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 2
SUD
50%
21%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 3
HEB
60%
19%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 1
BUC
30%
21%
50%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 1
NIE
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BUC
3 - 0
DAS
7%
15%
78%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +9 |